November 3, 2012

Hi Mom!

The unlikely superstar of this election seems to be Nate Silver.  We've talked about him here before.  He's the statistician over at the New York Times.  He write the fivethirtyeight blogs.  I don't mean to be rude, but I can't remember a time when a statistician was this popular.  Why are we talking about him?  

For starters, he was right about the election the last time, and so his predictions about how 2012 might go down are hotly sought after.  Time and time again, he has said in this cycle, the math favors Obama once again.  He has said this in the face of Romney-edged polls from Rasmussen and Gallup.  He's said this so many times, that he has been accused of being a mouth-piece for the left.  After being attacked for, what he believes to be, just presenting the probabilities, something strange happened: Nate Silver became the news instead of just being the guy who reports it.  

Business Insider is reporting on Silver's assertion that political pundits are for entertainment purpose only.   The Awl is blogging about his Twitter war with Joe Scarborough.  You know you've made it when the Onion makes fun of you.  Dylan Byers has started a clock on what he believes to be Mr. Silver's 15 minutes of fame.  According to Byers, Silver is a "one term celebrity" who is probably "highly over-rated."  He says that for all of his confidence, he appears to be hedging a bit for this election, which is too close to call.  Saying this, I might add, without any sense of irony about what the words "hedging" and "too close call" actually mean.

Really?  Why are the politicos of this election cycle making such a fuss about this one guy who claims to be able to do math in circles around you?  It's like a Revenge of the Nerds story creeped into the political arena.  Among the spectacled, this guy is still the biggest geek, and they just have to talk about him.  They can't help themselves.  Everyone has something to say about Nate Silver!  

And now, I guess, so did I.  Crap.  Hi Mom!

3 more shopping blogging days until the election.

No comments:

Post a Comment